Thoughts on Mondays Runners

May 22, 2017

A busy day for the team on Monday 22nd of May with four runners.

Mutineer 4.20 Carlisle

Thomas Brown will ride in the seven furlong handicap. A touch disappointing on his seasonal reappearance over a mile at Bath. We felt he would need that run beforehand from a fitness perspective and he still hadn’t really come in his coat, however he also gave the impression that he didn’t quite get home that day. He did travel well in the race that day and dropping back to seven shouldn’t be too much of an issue from that perspective. His final maiden run as a two year old at Kempton which has worked out well should give him a good chance here if the wide draw doesn’t leave him stuck out too wide around the first turn and with poor track position.

The race looks quite open and will probably be won by the horse that takes the biggest step forward. Right Action and Showdance Kid won a relatively weak maiden and novice race respectively but have subsequently found handicaps a touch difficult but drop in grade here and therefore set the standard. Four Wishes is the progressive horse in the field and won first time in a lower grade handicap when stepped up in trip. Arthurthedelegator has also been improving with racing and could be a danger.

Nuncio 4.40 Redcar

Josephine Gordon while ride in the mile maiden. A new recruit to the yard sent to us on the recommendation of his former trainer and Dan’s old boss Roger Charlton. Nuncio progressed with each of his fours races when with Roger and was unlucky to run into an in form horse on his first run in a handicap over seven furlongs. He looked as if the extra furlong would suit him that day. The only concern is that he has shown a tendency to be keen in the past so having not been to the races for a while there is danger he may be a bit excitable.

The race is down to four runners and Nuncio is rated 73, a pound better than Eddiebet so not much between them on that basis. Patchwork is less exposed and ran a nice race on his second start when runner up in a Goodwood maiden. He split an 80 horse and 63 horse that day so looks to have a similar level of form on that basis to Nuncio and Eddiebet, it could be a tactical affair with such a small field and it maybe case of jockeyship winning the day.

Av A Word 5.10 Redcar

Non-Runer

Permanent 5.40 Redcar

Josephine Gordon will ride in the ten furlong handicap. A very good looking horse Permanent was disappointing as a two year old. He has been gelded and given a break and his recent homework has been better. He looked slightly tripless at times and has been tested by his owner breeder on his genetic make up by Equinome who suggest that he is an 8-10 furlong horse. Hence we have stepped him up in distance for this race.

The race looks tricky contest as most of these already look fairly exposed. Beepeecee has at least won in this grade and on that basis sets the standard. The tricky horse to evaluate is Nigh or Never who has run ok over shorter trips and now drops in grade on his handicap debut and steps up in distance.

Not After Midnight 6.25 Windsor

George Downing rides in the 6 furlong novice fillies stakes. An exciting runner as she will be our first two year old out for the season. She has been a straight forward filly at home and has done everything asked of her so far. By Big Bad Bob she will probably be in need of seven furlongs in due course (her dam was a listed winner over a mile at two). This is very much a prep run to get her out on the track and with some racing experience as there are some likely softer options for her in about a fortnight. She has nice action but her family go well with cut in the ground so one would hope she will be happy with most types of ground.

This race is the first time fillies get to tackle six furlongs without having to take on the colts and looks a solid affair on paper. Cardaw Lily sets the standard on those that have run but there are some nicely bred newcomers to contend with notably Dathana who is by Dubawi out a Group 3 winning two year old.